News
October 10, 2024 | By Benjamin Yount
Policy Issues
Ballot Integrity

Reince Priebus: Trends Favor Trump in November

The former head of the Wisconsin Republican Party doesn’t want to jinx anything, but Reince Priebus says things are looking really good for former President Trump.

The former head of the Wisconsin Republican Party doesn’t want to jinx anything, but Reince Priebus says things are looking really good for former President Trump.

Priebus told News Talk 1130 WISN’s Jay Weber on Thursday that the trends, both in Wisconsin and across the country, all point to a Trump victory next month.

“If Trump's doing better with young people under 30, consistently. Not just one poll, but consistently. Better with Hispanics, consistently. Better across the board with non-college-degreed voters, like 65% which is about a 3% increase from 2020. I don't even know how some of these polls show things tied,” Priebus said.

The latest Marquette Law School Poll showed Kamala Harris leading in Wisconsin by four points, but a new Quinnipiac Poll has Trump up two in the state. Other national polls show the former president is within a point-or-two of Harris.

That too, Priebus said, is a positive trend for Trump.

“Look at these trend lines. Look at where we were in 2016, where we were in 2020,” Priebus explained. “The polling is either that he's tied or slightly ahead or very barely behind. That's four points better than we were in 2016. That's about nine points better than where we were in 2020.”

Priebus said the other trends pointing toward a Trump victory include the slippage in Democratic support in key U.S. Senate races like Montana, and Wisconsin.

“I think if Trump wins by three, Hovde is going to win,” Priebus added. If Trump barely wins Wisconsin, I think it's going to be very close for [him].”

The latest Marquette Law School Poll gave Democratic U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin a seven-point lead over Eric Hovde in Wisconsin’s race for the U.S. Senate. But a story out earlier this week quoted Baldwin as saying her internal polls show her lead is just two points.

Priebus said if that turns out to be true, the pollsters are going to have more explaining to do.

“If somehow or another Trump wins this thing with relative ease, and I'm not saying he will, but if he does then these pollsters…have a lot of questions to answer,” Priebus added.

Priebus has consistently said that the November election will come down to voter turnout and could be decided by just a few hundred thousand voters. He did say that hurricane damage in Georgia and North Carolina could cost the former president some votes. But he also said there is no way Kamala Harris can win the race if she doesn’t sweep Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

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