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The large number of people who’ve voted early in this year’s election has changed the expectations for Election Day.
Former Wisconsin Republican Party chairman, and former national GOP boss Reince Priebus on Friday said the early voting trends are, so far, looking good for former President Trump.
“Early voting is down in Madison and Milwaukee by, the last I checked, it was 41% and 43%,” Priebus told News Talk 1130 WISN’s Jay Weber. “It may have been a little different today. Maybe 38% to 39%, down over 2020.”
The Wisconsin Elections Commission on Friday said 1.3 million people in the state have voted early, either through the mail or in-person.
The Elections Commission’s Meagan Wlfe said that includes 198,216 early votes in Milwaukee County, and 175,684 early votes in Dane County. Waukesha County is third in the state for early voting, with 147,347 early votes.
The latest Marquette Law School Poll said Democrats have a huge lead in mail-in voting, but trail Republicans in Wisconsin when it comes to in-person voting.
Priebus said that means turnout on Elections Day is very, very important.
But he added that the high number of early voters does mean some Election Day voters will surprise some people.
“If turnout is very high, that's not a bad sign for Trump,” Priebus explained. “The more unlikely it is for someone to vote, the more likely it is that they're going to vote for Trump.”
The latest Marquette Law School Poll has Trump trailing Vice President Kamala Harris by a point in Wisconsin.
But Preibus said there are so many other signs that point to a Trump victory.
“For Trump not to win… we would have to be wrong about pretty much everything,” Priebus added. “Wrong about the pulling. Wrong about what's going on in the early vote, in absentee ballot voting. Wrong about Trump and the party's level of confidence when it comes to early voting and absentee ballot voting. The betting markets would have to be wrong, and the polling would have to be wrong.”
Still Priebus said the election is not a done deal.
He said tiny shifts in voting could have huge impacts, particularly in places like Dane County.
Friday is the last day for early voting in Wisconsin. After that, voters have to wait til Election Day to cast their ballots in-person.
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