The MacIver Institute’s State of K-12 Education: 2019 Edition

Back-to-school season is upon us, which can only mean one thing. No, it is not the return of blissful quiet to your home. It is time for MacIver’s annual State of K-12 Education Report Card.

How do Wisconsin’s students, teachers and schools measure up? Are taxpayers receiving a decent return on their investment?

Nearly 6 in 10 Wisconsin students are NOT proficient in basic math or English – Where is the outrage?

Despite massive funding increases and flat enrollment, troublesome achievement gaps persist and much, much more.

September 3, 2019

A MacIver Institute Analysis by Ola Lisowski 

Over 800,000 Wisconsin students are heading back to school this week, which means it’s time for MacIver’s annual State of K-12 Education analysis. 

According to the state’s Forward Exam, 6 in 10 Wisconsin students are not proficient English language arts or math.

There are many ways to judge individual academic achievement and overall system-wide educational success. Most Wisconsin students in elementary school take the Forward Exam, while high school students take the ACT and Advanced Placement (AP) exams. The state also tracks success by reporting graduation rates and achievement gaps, culminating in annual school and district report cards. Test scores are important, but they aren’t everything. Does a student have access to the school that best fits their needs? If a student graduates from high school and heads to college, is that student prepared to learn and able to graduate in a timely manner? So many metrics, so little time.

We pour over all of this data and condense it down into an analysis that you can then use to decide for yourself – are Wisconsin’s schoolchildren learning what they need to know to be successful after high school and are the schools doing their job well? 

Let’s dive in. 

Academic Metrics 

Graduation Rates

Let’s start with the most common metric used to judge academic success – the rate of graduation from high school.  The latest dataset showed that 89.6 percent of Wisconsin’s high school class of 2018 graduated in four years. Students graduated at a slightly higher rate compared to 2017, when 88.6 percent graduated in four years. The figure dipped between 2014 and 2016 but has generally trended upward.

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The graduation achievement gap or the diploma gap as it is called between racial and ethnic groups persists, particularly between white and black students. For the class of 2018, 93.5 percent of white non-Hispanic students graduated in four years, while 69.3 percent of black students graduated in the same amount of time — a 24.2-point gap. In 2011, the white-black diploma gap was 27.6 points, meaning the gap has only closed by 3.4 points in seven years. 

Hispanic/Latino students have shown the largest graduation achievement improvement of any racial or ethnic group since 2011, when 72.0 percent of students graduated high school in four years. Seven years later, 82.3 percent of Hispanic/Latino students graduate on time, a 10.3-point improvement. 

Forward Exam

Wisconsin’s standardized state exam is called the Forward Exam. The Forward Exam measures an individual students’ command of certain basic subjects at different points during their elementary and secondary education. Unfortunately for Wisconsin, the results from the 2018 exam showed that just 42.4 percent of students are proficient in English language arts, and 43.8 percent are proficient in math.

Students improved in math by one percentage point over the prior year, when 42.8 percent were proficient. At the same time, they fared worse in English language arts. In 2017, 44.4 percent of students were proficient on the same exam.

Students showed slight improvement in science, with 49.9 percent of students demonstrating proficiency. That’s up a hair from 49.7 percent in 2017. They also improved on social studies — 50.6 percent of students are proficient in the subject, up a full percentage point from the previous year’s result.

More than 715,000 Wisconsin students in public and private schools took the Forward Exam in March of 2018. The majority of the students who take the exam are in 3rd through 8th grade, as do some 10th graders. Proficiency scores are averages for all students across grades.

Achievement gaps persisted in the data, especially between white and black students. The English language arts gap shrank slightly to 37 points, while the achievement gap in math increased from 39.8 points to 41 points.

This dataset was released in October of 2018. Results for the 2019 exam will become public this fall.

AP Exams 

One bright light in the data shows that more high school students are taking Advanced Placement (AP) Exams, and perhaps more significantly, more students are scoring well on those exams. Students with an AP Exam score of three or higher are awarded college credit at many universities, including in the University of Wisconsin System.

Even as the number of exams taken increased by 2.5 percent in one year, scores also continue to increase. Approximately two-thirds, or 66.5 percent, of AP Exams that students took in May 2018 had scores of three or higher. The previous year, 65.9 percent of exams were scored three or better.

The overall participation rate remains low, at 16.9 percent in 2018, but has gradually increased since 2010. In 2017, 16.4 percent of high school students statewide took an AP Exam.

In terms of overall exams taken, Wisconsin students took a stunning 61 percent more AP Exams in 2018 compared to 2010.

Remedial Education  

When students enter the University of Wisconsin (UW) System, they must take placement exams for math and English before freshman year begins. If students don’t do well enough on those placement exams, they are required to take remedial classes before beginning regular college coursework. 

Remedial education data show the extent to which the K-12 education system is failing students. Rather than demonstrating mastery of material before graduating high school, thousands of students are moving through the system and arriving at college unprepared.

Thousands of students from Wisconsin high schools have to take remedial classes at the UW System every year. In the fall of 2017, these students came from 197 high schools across the state. 

The growing trend of required remedial education highlights that students are graduating from high school woefully unprepared and still being accepted into the UW System. 

Plus, the issue compounds many other troubling trends.  Students take remedial education classes for full tuition and zero credit. The classes do not count towards degree completion, and students must pass them before moving onto regular coursework. The issue plays into the trend of increasingly high levels of student loan debt, and the amount of time it takes college students to earn a degree—if they finish at all. 

Studies show that students who take remedial classes in college are also less likely to graduate, leaving them with thousands of dollars in debt without a degree.

One hundred and eighty-five schools graduated classes where 10 percent or more of the students starting at UW needed remedial math instruction. That’s an uptick from the previous year’s report, which showed that 172 schools graduated classes where 10 percent or more of students needed remediation. 

Eleven schools sent classes to UW where 50 percent or more of the students required remedial math. That’s an improvement from 2016, when 15 high schools met that criteria. Of those 11 schools, five are part of the Milwaukee Public Schools district, the largest in the state. At 80 percent, Royall High School had the largest percentage of its graduating class needing math remediation.

Perhaps most troubling in the remedial education report is that many schools on the list ranked highly on Wisconsin’s own report card system. Fifty percent of the high schools who received five stars on Wisconsin’s 2018 report cards graduated students who needed the remedial classes. On average, Wisconsin’s “best” high schools graduated classes where 21 percent of students who entered the UW System required math remediation. Those 222 students come from all over the state – Brookfield, Tomahawk, Shorewood, Kenosha, Milwaukee, and many others.

Fourteen schools that sent high numbers of unprepared students to the UW System received ranks of five stars, or “significantly exceeds expectations,” on Wisconsin’s 2018 report cards. That’s a significant increase from the prior year’s list, which showed that nine schools with significant remediation needs had received five-star rankings on the most recent report cards. 

Others still were included on notable lists such as U.S. News and World Report and are purportedly among the best schools in the state and country. Eisenhower High School in New Berlin was ranked the second-best high school in the state by U.S. News and World Report. Fifteen percent of their graduates going to UW needed remedial math coursework to catch up. 

In fact, nine of the ten best high schools in Wisconsin – according to the U.S. News and World Report 2018 rankings – appear on the remedial education list. The only school that does not is the number one-ranked school, Whitefish Bay High. Of the top twenty schools on U.S. News’ list, 17 had issues with math remediation. 

Clearly, there is a disconnect between official rankings and student preparedness for life after high school. Students who are told that they attend the best high schools in the state end up behind when they get to the UW, requiring help with basic algebra and trigonometry. It also throws a huge grain of salt on DPI’s biggest data release of the year: annual report cards. On that note…

Report Cards

Wisconsin’s DPI releases comprehensive school and district report cards every fall. The release gives every school and district a rating of one to five stars, signifying “fails to meet expectations” to “significantly exceeds expectations.” 

Nearly 41,000 Wisconsin students across the state attend failing schools.

The fall 2018 report cards showed student achievement in districts is on the rise, but individual schools are drifting away from the highest and lowest scores, toward the middle. In 2018, 49 districts received five stars, compared to 44 in 2017. The majority of the state’s 422 public school districts received four stars, with 206 districts falling in that category, up from the prior year’s 190. 

No districts received one-star, failing to meet expectations ratings in the last two report cards. However, as the sections above have shown, that doesn’t mean students are finding success in those schools. 

Mercer School District in Iron County had the lowest total score of 55.9 percent. The district has no students with limited English proficiency, 12 percent are minorities, and 22.5 percent have disabilities.  

The number of one-star schools went down from 117 in 2017 to 95 in 2018. Two-star schools went down from 261 to 250. Three-star schools went up from 643 to 671. Four-star schools went up from 719 to 768. Five-star schools went down from 361 to 327.

The best individual school in the state is Milton’s Consolidated Elementary with an overall accountability score of 99 points. It has no students with limited English proficiency, 11 percent are economically disadvantaged, 10 percent have disabilities, and 96 percent are white.

TransCenter for Youth/El Puente High got the lowest score in the state at 10.3 points. 92 percent of its students are economically disadvantaged, 95 percent are minorities, and 23 percent have limited English proficiency.

After TransCenter for Youth/El Puente High, the next seven worst performing schools are MPS high schools. North Division scored 22.5 points, WHS scored 26.6, Pulaski got 26.9, Marshall 27, Bradley Tech reached 30.5, South Division got 31.2, and Vincent hit 31.4. 

Five MPS schools earned five-star ratings, an improvement from last year’s four schools at that level. More schools also earned four- and three-star ratings, showing slow upward movement in individual school achievement across the district. In all, 139 MPS schools received scores on the five-star scale. 

According to the report cards, 20,893 students attend 34 schools in the top two categories. That’s a 20 percent increase in student enrollment in four-star and five-star schools from 2017. 

In all, 22,446 students attend MPS’ 39 failing schools. The number of students attending failing MPS schools fell by a full 10 percent compared to the prior year.

Last year, 46 MPS schools earned failing grades. That number fell to 39 schools this year, or 28 percent of the district’s schools. In all, 22,446 students attend MPS’ 39 failing schools. The number of students enrolled in failing schools fell by 10 percent from last year. 

The fact that 10 percent fewer MPS students attend failing schools is undoubtably a good thing. Still, there are more students attending these schools than the entire population of the city of South Milwaukee. Across the state, 40,919 students attend failing schools, with 55 percent of them at MPS. The district is trending in the right direction, but with overall achievement low, challenges still lie ahead.  

The 2018 report cards were the second time that private schools received report cards for students enrolled in parental choice programs. Compared to the prior year, more schools received five-star ratings, and fewer schools received one-star ratings. 

The total number of students enrolled in choice programs increased by 18 percent from 2017, and 30 more schools are participating in the programs. At the same time, the number of school choice students enrolled in failing schools fell by a stunning 63 percent. While 25 private choice schools received just one star last year, this year 11 schools did the same. 

A clear upward trend is apparent from last year, which was the first time any choice school received a report card. Two more schools earned top marks, and the number of schools receiving four stars (exceeds expectations) nearly doubled, from 18 to 33. The number of students in rolled in five-, four-, and three-star schools increased by 49 percent from 2017. 

2019 report cards will be published soon, likely in November. 

 ACT Exam 

High school students across the country take the ACT Exam for college, and Wisconsin has one of the highest participation rates for the ACT in the country. Wisconsin students earned an average composite score of 19.8 out of 36, lower than the prior year’s average of 20.0. Overall, students fared the best in the science section, earning an average of 20.1 out of 36 points. At 18.1 out of 36, English language arts had the lowest average score among students. 

Participants in the state’s school choice programs outperformed their public school peers for the third year in a row. Students in the Wisconsin Parental Choice Program (WPCP), also known as the statewide choice program, earned an average of 21.0 out of 36 points on the ACT Exam. 

Participants in the Milwaukee Parental Choice Program (MPCP) earned a composite score of 17.2 out of 36 on the ACT Exam. Economically disadvantaged students at Milwaukee Public Schools earned a score of 15.5, while MPS students as a whole earned 16.1 points. 

Overall, approximately 66,300 students in 11th grade took the ACT in the spring of 2018, paid for by the state of Wisconsin. Before offering the exam at no cost to students, about 72 percent of Wisconsin graduates took the exam.

Non-Academic Metrics

The 2019-21 State Budget

As former state Superintendent of the Department of Public Instruction (DPI), Gov. Tony Evers made K-12 education a top priority in his 2019-21 biennial budget proposal. That is, as long as students attend the types of schools he prefers.

Evers’ massive spending proposal called for nearly $1.6 billion more for DPI over the biennium, another record hike over the prior budget’s increase of more than $630 million. It would have dramatically reworked the school funding formula, and it also drastically restricted access to educational choice.

In the end, Evers’ veto pen increased DPI’s overall spending to a more than $700 million hike over the biennium. The state aid spending increase to DPI is the largest across all agencies.

Chart reflects figures before vetoes.

With the veto pen, districts will receive larger per pupil aid payments for each student – up from $654 this year to $742 in each of the next two years. That totals nearly $90 million more in overall state spending. Evers also vetoed out an $18 million program that provides free laptops for all high school freshmen.

The extra money comes with zero reforms for an underperforming education system with flat enrollment. In this biennium, state support to K-12 schools will reach more than $14 billion in the biennium, and DPI’s total budget spends north of $15.2 billion. Evers’ original proposal included more than $600 million to increase special education categorical aids. JFC sent $330 million more into the equalization aid formula, $97 million more for special education categorical aids, along with a litany of other changes.

Chart reflects figures before vetoes.

Lost in this debate is the fact that student enrollment has slowly declined over the years as families opt for other educational choices outside of the public education system. In the current school year, more than 853,000 children attend Wisconsin public schools, a figure that has fallen for years. At the same time, K-12 investments have increased. The state continues to spend more money to educate fewer children. Which brings us to…

Enrollment 

Overall student enrollment continues to fall, though the 0.15 percent decrease is smaller than in recent years. The third-Friday headcount in September of 2018 showed that 858,833 children attend Wisconsin K-12 schools. The previous year, the headcount had fallen by 0.43 percent.

Wisconsin has seen declining enrollment in its schools for years. At the same time, spending on the public education system has increased dramatically.

While fewer students attend traditional public schools in the state of Wisconsin, more have utilized forms of school choice. The most popular form of choice is public school open enrollment, which allows students to attend public schools outside of their home districts. In the 2018-19 school year, more than 60,000 students participated in open enrollment, a 76 percent increase from 2010-11. 

Students can also attend private schools using the parental choice programs in Milwaukee, Racine, and statewide. More than 38,000 students are enrolled in private schools thanks to those three programs, an 89 percent increase from the 2010-11 school year.  

Students can only participate in the parental choice programs if their family incomes are below certain limits. In Milwaukee and Racine, families can earn up to 300 percent of the federal poverty level to qualify. For a family of four, that amounts to $75,300 for the 2019-20 school year. Outside of those two cities, the limit is 220 percent of the poverty level, or $55,220 for a family of four.

Since the school choice programs have income limitations on participation, these programs have much higher rates of economically disadvantaged students than the general Wisconsin population. For that reason, their academic performance is typically compared to economically disadvantaged students in public schools. Wisconsin choice students have shown that they not only outperform similar peers in public schools, but also the general population. Students in all three programs received higher ACT scores this year than their public school peers. 

The most recent DPI report cards also show the impact of school choice. Of the 17 schools at MPS that received five stars on 2018 report cards, 10 are private choice and four are charters. Just three traditional public schools at MPS received five stars in 2018.

Attendance, Dropout Rates, and Expulsions 

DPI’s February data release included a slew of non-academic information for the 2017-18 school year. Both attendance rates and dropout rates fell by a hair compared to the prior year. Overall, students had a 93.9 percent attendance rate in the 2017-18 school year, down from 94 percent in 2016-17. The statewide dropout rate fell to 1.4 percent this year, down from 1.5 percent the prior year. While a minuscule difference, the attendance rate is now at a five-year low. In the 2013-14 school year, attendance was 95 percent.

School discipline rates are part of a new set of data first published in Wisconsin’s WISEdash system for the 2016-17 school year. Those figures show a troubling increase in incident reports involving students — from assault, drugs and alcohol, endangering behavior, weapon related, and all other violations of school rules, the incident rate for all students increased to 8.1 percent in 2018. The prior year, the student incident rate was 6.8 percent.

Statewide, 554 students were expelled in the 2017-18 school year, and 8.2 percent received out-of-school suspensions. That marks a 22 percent increase in the number of expulsions from 2016-17, when 453 students were expelled. That year, 6.8 percent of students received out-of-school suspensions.

That wraps up The MacIver Institute’s State of Education for 2019. We hope you enjoyed reading about the many trends in education that are often lost in the day-to-day news cycle. Wondering about any other data? Drop your questions in the comments below.